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Are the any good numbers and statistics on the success and fail rates of Iranian missiles and various air defense systems used by Israel during the “12 Day War” last June. From stuff I’ve seen online, I was thinking probably a couple hundred missiles fired, a few dozen unintercepted hits in Israel, and maybe half a dozen hits on valuable targets. But this is just anecdotal interpretation from videos and such.
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>>64826860
>>64826863
What the actual fuck?
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>>64826851
>>64827221
Iran fired between 500-700 ballistic missiles and I've seen rumors and open source saying between 40 and 200 hit depending on definition (some numbers account for CEP and some dont). I think the low count is within target damage range and the high is total hits within Israel even if wildly inaccurate and ineffective.
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>>64827285
Anything over 90% is considered excellent in air defense. Highly effective is 75-80%+ and goes down from fairly quickly. It all depends on type of target and interceptor ratio (how many fired to have an intercept) for a truly cohesive view which no country will ever publish
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>>64827318
Makes it seem that Israel’s AA performance wasn’t great, though how much depends on some wide number ranges, but that Iran’s missiles were so inaccurate it pretty much didn’t matter. Thank you for the info.
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>>64827285
>>64827445
For Iran roughly 40 targets hit out of 6-700 is shit. For Israel triple digit ballistic missile hits is also not a good look but most of the missiles didnt hit their targets and some may have been purposely let through to hit dirt instead of wasting a volley of interceptors. Hard to say both came out licking their wounds but Israel obviously came out ahead but not significantly enough as previously thought. Since they are generally competent they probably learned lessons and are implementing fixes both software and hardware.
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Lmao
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>>64826851
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>>64827516
While this is a good chart it only pulls from published public data (relatively soon after the "12 day war") and there were more hits from later published satellite imagery over Israel. Also exoatmospheric intercepts are rare to capture as well as non urban hits so both numbers are higher but the trend is probably similar to the chart.
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>>64827285
>>64827468
It is confirmed from official sources that, if a missile will impact in a non-populated area, the missile will not be intercepted. Iranian missiles (generally) lack terminal maneuvering, so their trajectory and impact point can be accurately calculated well before impact.
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>>64827178
Brown or retarded?
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1617470/daily-missiles-impacts-ira n-war-in-israel/
https://www.statista.com/statistics/1617192/daily-israeli-fatalities-a nd-injuries-in-iran-war-june/
https://www.timesofisrael.com/the-israel-iran-war-by-the-numbers-after -12-days-of-fighting/
More than 9000 displaced, make an educated guess for residential density and you can estimate impact amounts.
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the reality is that iran just lacks the CEP to actually hit specific military targets with these missiles, israel focuses it's interception efforts on making sure that the ones that are actually predicted by radar to get close to military installations get intercepted first.
of all the other missiles, a majority gets intercepted, and the rest strike either empty desert or civilian buildings, which is a waste of a missile.
i'm not even pro-israel, but i've been getting called that for merely suggesting that mass ballistic missile spam is a waste of limited resources when you don't have the required CEP to do lasting damage.
>>64827784 this amount of people temporarily displaced is not gonna cut it, if anything it just hurts iran's intended image on the global stage as a completely unwilling participant and victim.
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>>64827839
Iran practically sued for peace since they couldn't stop the Israeli bombings, so either they ran out of missiles or felt that they are ineffective and it's better to reserve them in underground shelters
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>>64827839
>Update
>>64827858
iran expelled + - ≈2 Billion to strike 40 targets in Israel and israel destroyed their upper leadership, most of their air power, and a ton of TELs and missiles/air defense on the ground
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>>64834502
Real countries do BDA for their enemies on live TV to make thirdies clap for them online.
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>>64834145
Nah this isn't like iron dome vs. qassam rockets. ballistic missiles are hugely expensive, the cost of similar IRBM's operated by China for instance is $20 million a piece.
https://nationalinterest.org/blog/buzz/navy-freaked-china-wants-more-d f-26-aircraft-killer-missiles-21340 9#:~:text=A%20Lucky%20Strike%20%E2% 80%93%20An%20Unthinkable,Tom%20Shug art%20told%20the%20EurasianTimes.&t ext=Your%20browser%20can't%20play%2 0this%20video.&text=An%20error%20oc curred.,truest%20sense%20of%20the%2 0word.
Israel was intercepting the majority of them with Arrow-2's ($2 million a piece) or David's Sling ($700,000 a piece). So each interceptor is about 3.5% to 10% the cost of the missile being intercepted
Anyway, the whole "we made you spend money" shit tankies and groypers say to try and get a win out of conflict is some post-2015 cope which began when US BTFO all those russians and assadists in syria.
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>>64834244
>2026
>literally no pictures exist anywhere despite the prevalence of smart phones, traffic cameras, satellites, drones, everything
>Israel literally hiding all of the massive damage it took across a country of 9 million people without any leaks.
makes sense
also you're not jewish and you don't live in tel aviv