Thread #533371943
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Day: 11 of the 14-day ceasefire™ period
Day: 49 of the 1 day Special Military Operation to Decapitate Iran™
Trump War Tantrum / Cope Counter: 30+ https://litter.catbox.moe/f0hmqh.txt
▶RECENT:
>FRIDAY TruthSocial PUMPnDUMP. Contradictions GALORE.
>Trumps statements are not confirmed by the opposing parties, both Israelis and Iranians.
>A new round of US–Iran talks is expected to take place in Islamabad, Pakistan, on Monday, APR 20th, according to CNN, citing Iranian officials.
>Israelis are not happy about the rumors of peace and started complaining again.
>Conflicting reports of the strait being open. Iran claims they are open to prevent Israel attacking Lebanon, while Trump claims Lebanon is not part of the deal.
>Intense Israeli artillery shelling of Khiam, Debbine and southeast Lebanon, less than 30 minutes into the ceasefire.
>Lebanon ceasefire went into effect, APR 16th 21:00 UTC.
>US & Iran ceasefire is set to expire on April 22.
▶WARNING:
>Do not trust any "happenings" without link/proof
>Uкraine / Яussia discussions belong in uнg or cнug
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>>533371943
welcome to /pig/
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>>533371932
Time is definitely on Iran's side, which is why I expect the US to go on the offensive in the coming weeks.
The market manipulation is not merely a tool for the insiders to profit, it also serves to soften the blow when news hits that war has resumed.
>>533372017
There wouldn't have been a ceasefire if it were not for the Chinese pressuring Iran.
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>>533372017
Chinaaa!!!
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>>533372047
>There wouldn't have been a ceasefire if it were not for the Chinese pressuring Iran.
They are pressuring because we're at a very critical point where a lot of people are going to suffer for the incoming oil shortage. China is trying to desperately be the moral fag in the situation. And that's not exactly bad but you're dealing with America and Israel the most immoral degenerates that basically want to kill everyone to either make a profit or create the greater Israel. Eventually you can't take the high road anymore. This shit can't go on.
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>>533372017
Actually true, they have been extremely restrained. This is pushing the limits of the Daoist do nothing and win policy however. I don’t think the great satan realises how close it is to China stepping in and telling them to stop being gigantic cunts or else.
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>>533372055
THE JEWS HAVE FLED INTO THE VENTILATION SHAFT
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>>533372243
I wish the poor bastards wouldn't risk trying to get back to their homes knowing how insane the IDF is but jesus christ I would probably run back to my home to try and salvage what I could too if I was in that situation just to grab at least some sentimental things before they're torched. Israel is so fucking evil.
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Yids rape kids
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>>533372322
israel gencoided the city tyre of christians, something muslims didn't manage in centuries
all with US means and support
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>>533371930
Not sanctioned using your TankerTrackers source
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:755070/mmsi: 636014909/imo:9447574/vessel:FPMC_C _LORD
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:459665/mmsi: 305021400/imo:9351816/vessel:BHAGYA _LAXMI
https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/details/ships/shipid:7168652/mmsi :229770000/imo:9935569/vessel:AKTI_ A
And as far as toll is concerned, I'm convinced they aren't collecting any. There is simply no evidence of any effective toll collection system. Iran has also said they aren't charging India at all. If they aren't charging India presumably because they consider them friendly, who are they charging? It's clearly not a universal, impartial toll system then, if it exists.
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I've given up trying to figure out what the fuck is happening with this war. There is a ceasefire. There is no ceasfire. There's a war. There is no war. It's closed. It's open. There's a blockade. There isn't. They're pulling out. They're invading. It's completely tiresome and baffling.
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>>533372622
they can win the genocide not the war, same as after the gaza ghetto uprising on october 7
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>failed to capture Bint Jbeil in 2006
>failed to capture Bint Jbeil in 2026
Stay classy, zhids
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>>533372800
israel ethnically cleansed palestine and displaced the muslims into lebanon, then they funded and supported a christian milita to ethnically cleanse the muslims, in response a muslim shia resistance movement called hezbollah got founded
gaad sad always tells you what happened to him but never why
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War's over boys, pack it up. The regime sure did change.
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>>533372854
yes but not for the reasons you might think. having jews next door fueled muslims to fuck like rabbits for the next wave to prepare for jihad. Lebanese Christians are relatively safe and had France on their side, kind of.
also, the Syrian war dumped a shitton of muzzies into the mountains of Lebanon where they get UN support and spend their time whoring and breeding.
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Most of the tankers transiting the Strait of Hormuz this morning are all linked to Iran/Russia/China & US-sanctioned.
https://xcancel.com/MenchOsint/status/2045401916469874875
Iran won
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>>533372800
>What happened to all the majority-Christian countries in the Middle East actually?
Islam happened, anon. There hasn't been Christian rule in the middle east since the crusades. Islam mandates the extermination of outsiders. Christians and everyone else were displaced, killed or wiped out in cruel and unusual ways with only brief interludes where Muslim leaders realized their civilization might need white people, before regressing to genocide again.
Here's another shocking revelation for you. Mongrel araboid mutts are not the indigenous race of Egypt, Syria, Lebanon or Iraq. They're the consequence of centuries of genocidal, racially supremacist islamic rule.
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>>533373144
*tips hat*
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>>533372958
israel to overthrow a man called assad together with the GCC created the NATO proxies ISIS
/pol/ for ages predicted the ethnic cleansing of christians from syria and this happened as well
meanwhile christians are being spat on in israel every day
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>Iran reopened its airspace on Saturday to international flights crossing the eastern part of its territory, the country's Civil Aviation Authority said. “Air routes in the eastern section of the country's airspace are open for international flights transiting through Iran,” it said, quoted by Agence France-Presse.
Could be really over I reckon
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>>533373328
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>>533373408
israel has been bombing synagogues and threatening them around the world since the founding
they did the bagdhad synagogue bombings and one israeli teen is responsible for thousands of bomb threats to the synagogues in the US over three years
another israeli just got convicted, those bomb threats help those synagogues get state funding for protection, more political support for israel
and so forth
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1950%E2%80%931951_Baghdad_bombings
for jews to be safe israel can no longer exist I fear
they are hate crimes against non jews bringign them and their societies into disrepute
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>>533371943
LEGO are helping Iran
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>>533373450
Jews did according to both christian and muslim sources.
As reward muslims let jews garrison christian cities and co rule muslim spain for 700 years, this was known as the jewish golden age.
After the christian reconquest of spain muslims and jews were made to convert to christianity or leave. They called that the inquisition.
Thus the spanish golden age begun.
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>“Director Kash Patel was preparing to leave work for the weekend, he struggled to log into an internal computer system. He quickly became convinced that he had been locked out, and he panicked, frantically calling aides and allies to announce that he had been fired by the White House, according to nine people familiar with his outreach.”
https://www.theatlantic.com/politics/2026/04/kash-patel-fbi-director-d rinking-absences/686839/
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>>533373670
+
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=YL_APKnLtJo
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>>533373640
Some unsanctioned ships are passing through.
>https://x.com/HFI_Research/status/2045416562157592728
>5 sanctioned, 5 unsanctioned
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>>533373748
Tasnim reports "control of the Strait of Hormuz has returned to its previous state", due to US blockade.
>https://x.com/Tasnimbrk/status/2045411964361338939
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>>533373618
haha
btw everyone that works under them hates their guts, the first thing Pam bondi's former subordinates did after she was fired was take her picture down, through it in a trash can, take a picture of it and send it to news networks lmao
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interdasting
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Iran apparently agreed to a limited number of tankers passing, the US
we do not know how many
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pool's closed
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>>533373748
>>533373801
so looks like america doesn't really want a deal if they still doing the blockade shit
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>>533374188
>#BREAKING Iran military command says has closed Hormuz again over US blockade
https://x.com/AFP/status/2045419453974819245
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>>533374188
>>533374223
there we go, if india starves it will be the fault of modi for being too pro american and pro israeli
if pakistanis starve it will be because they side with saudi arabia instead of their geographic natural ally iran
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>>533374346
mexico benefits from this crisis, the worse it gets the more mexico benefits
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>>533371943
post the original
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>>533374256
I assume they just don't want to lift it before the further talks take place.
>hehe, we're the ones blockading now. Checkmate Irannies.
Blockade intact = pools closed even if the iranians say you can go through. Nobody will risk it.
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>>533371943
>>533374432
I very clearly remember US "preemptively" striking the targets as opposed to announcing them beforehand. Bit of a whitewashing, just like the OP.
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It’s over for these guys, this was the best chance they got and they lost, they will never get the chance to ethnically cleanse the arabs from greater israel, this was their peak and it’s all downhill from here. Opposing them is seen as cool, rebellious, brave, and righteous by everyone younger than 50. They played all of their cards and they got nothing to show for it, even mentioning the holocaust makes them look worse now because everyone immediately remembers how they treat palestinians. It was always delusional to think this had a chance of success, they never developed traditions of statecraft, they never learned how to cohabitate with someone as the dominant side, they always lived submissively in the margins refusing to assimilate and at the same time trying to not cause too much trouble, and they will become reverting back to this
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>Support kikes to own muslims
>Kikes destroy christian settlements and kill christians
>Cheeto performs blasphemy by depicting himself as Jesus
>Grindr party in white house(gay dating site owned by jew)
Is there creature more gullible and incapable of critical thought than evangelical christian?
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>>533374700
The funniest part is that they put all their faith and trust in Donald Trump, a man they themselves made and groomed, to deliver them a solid outcome, and like with every group, he promised them the world and then delivered them a pile of shit.
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>>533374700
Sponsors come and go. I believe Israel made a bargain with China to shoo the USA into this debacle, fundamentally weakening it.
Whether this grand betrayal results in China displacing USA as world hegemon or just multipolarity isn't known rn, but Israel can present itself as having helped birth whatever results.
In return Israel hopes to switch from being USA's enforcer/hub in the region to being Chinas. The form of that role to be decided by China.
In return Israel gets all the economic and military support that entails, perhaps not as much as USA provided, perhaps not as much latitude, but some say in regional affairs and crumbs from the table.
Ironically this will benefit Americans.
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>>533374692
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>>533374933
didn't have the terminals, more expensive, ukraine and the US block them
in a sense it is russias fault too, did you know that the polish norwegian gas pipeline went online the day after nordstream
meaning to isolate offensive polish posturing in this war from the terror attack
if I was russia I would have destroyed that pipeline the day after nordstream then cut the british london speed internet finance cable
and pleaded ignorance to their accusation but proposed an international charter against the attacks on underwater infrastructure in the maritime commons
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>>533374932
>negotiate being China's enforcer
literally no country other than the USA is dumb enough to trust Israel and their stock as an "ally" or even a tool have diminished significantly since the war began. I doubt they'd have anything to do with Israel given how duplicitous, uncontrollable, reckless and above all just how weak they've been shown to be.
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Easy money, even Trump is not the ridiculous.
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>CUT MY DICK INTO PIECES
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>>533374432
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So is America getting kicked out of the gulf completely? Also while this def accelerated the deatj of the american empire I fear the petrodollar will remain intact because there jist isnt a better option FOR NOW i imagine in the next couple of years there will be one
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>>533375255
>Also while this def accelerated the deatj of the american empire I fear the petrodollar will remain intact because there jist isnt a better option FOR NOW i imagine in the next couple of years there will be one
IMO the big thing to watch out for once this happening subsidises is a massive push for a BRICs unit of value / exchange. The talks on that were supposed to happen this year but have been postponed because of the war.
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>>533375200
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>>533375039
>trust
Its about force projection. Israel is in a key geographical spot for that. Africa, Europe, Mideast are all a J20 flight away. Europe has nowhere else to go but Africa, they are rearming to dominate there, and China needs to defend its interests there. Likewise when energy producing gulf states actually follow through on pipelines to Europe terminating in Israel, its important for China to be there.
Israel will be required to rebrand from expansionist settler fucknuts to reduce toxicity for China and that won't be easy but China can present itself as being a force which can curtail their excesses and suddenly its a win for them globally and regionally.
But its worth remembering, empire/hegemon usually pick war over downsizing, so Israel will do more to help guide the USA towards more mistakes, further weakening, and a controlled belly flop collapse.
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The fucking chutzpah
Incredible how brazenly they do this trading shit without even trying to cover it
People are so domesticated that now they don’t even have to be preoccupied of the public opinion, you can do a fake war and play openly and all people will do now is complain online
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>>533375411
>>533375433
>Its about force projection.
it is not, and it is not about the oil
israel hurts the oil and force projection in catastrophic capacity
stop dropping your old talking points you will only run into anons here who know more than you about your own country
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>>533374932
This was Israel's plan since the 80's, when the Chinese were still eating rice with their hands.
And the idea that Israel needed any sort of external incentive to betray the US and cause its decline and withdrawal from their region is absurd.
So I don't see what would make you think that China would give Israel something in exchange for doing something that they would have done anyway.
Israel just hoped to get both Iran and the West to be destroyed as a result of a single war.
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trump threatens iran with bombs
as said prior, iran breaking the ceasefire on tuesday will/would have catastrophic impacts on
bessents oil/SPR sheanigans as the future expire/come due
massive demand will happen on wednesday with them having to be satisfied from the spot market
the higher oil is on tuesday+wednesday, the more the US has to sink into a bailout either by money or more likely by physical oil from the reserve, it would drastical hurt their staying power and posture
https://xcancel.com/atrupar/status/2045354025420198312#m
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>>533375519
China is soon at energy independence, are you? No, never have been. You fought two expansionist world wars and lost both because of it. Now you are fighting Russia to try and steal their resources, which still isn't working, so you can only go to Africa. Where you think you will beat China lmao!
The ability to project force to control energy dependency is the 'great game' of this century. 107 years after the anglo and Russia carved up Iran they fucked Trumps attempt at energy dominance. It has been the lawnmower engine heard around the world.
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>>533375742
It seems... in your anger... you blockaded it.
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>Open
>Closed
>Open
>Closed
>Open
>Clopen
>Opeclos-o-cl-ope-clos-op-c-ope-clo-open-clo-op-closed
man what the fuck. Let's just glass the Middle East (and India) and call it a day.
>>533375411
I can't tell whether or not that's supposed to remind me of Epstein's temple, but it's making me laugh either way.
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>>533375742
iran closed it because the US kept blockading iranian ships
wednesday oil future come due and bessent loaned out US strategic petroleum reserves to depress prices
should oil be very high wednesday (kinetic impact on the easst west saudi pipeline or houthis joining tuesday)
then those companies would either go under or hope for a bailout either the federal reserve or from the petroleum reserve
since doing it with money would increase the price the US would have no choice but to draing their reserve to a critical low quantity
if I'm correct
the ideal iranian play is to either get the houthis involved tuesday or to hit the saudi pipeline then in my book, before they let the US renew those futures
at a discount
it is a bit silly as it does nothing for the physical availabillity of oil but it is how trump is fighting this war, like a ponzi conman
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>>533375808
russia being too retarded to establish deterrence to keep their critical energy infrastructure secure is not germanies fault
for whatever faults germany got which are plenty
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>>533375797
No one will run out of fuel entirely. It will just get really fucking expensive until demand destruction reaches price equilibrium. It’s not like ALL the oil goes through the strait. For the poorfag countries who can’t afford to bid up oil things could get bad though. The fertiliser situation is the real problem here, billions will die if farmtards can’t get their chemical ferts.
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>>533376083
it is 50% of all exported oil in the world
30% of fertilizer and as energy input 10+20% of fertilizer production
australia as secondary market with input from asia which gets all their energy from the gulf
is extra fucked, new zealand or aorteroreao in savage speak is fucked too
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>>533376159
>australia as secondary market with input from asia which gets all their energy from the gulf
>is extra fucked
We have trillions in savings, our own oil deposits, large gas deposits, the largest deposits of coal, uranium, rare earths, etc.
We're not fucked; just means we're seeing higher prices for a bit. If the situation continues we will adapt, as we've always done.
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why does the US keep the blockade when they must have known that Iran will have to keep Hormuz closed in that case?
what's even the point of what happened yesterday?
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>>533374188
>>533374310
>Iran closes strait
>U.S closes strait in response
>Iran opens strait (per agreement)
>U.S keeps strait closed
>Iran closes strait in response
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>>533375986
>Germans love affair with Drang nach Osten is everyone elses fault
Still not working as foreign policy, and as a consequence the new army Germany is building is for Africa. There is nowhere else to go, and the groundwork has already been laid with the North African 'neighborhood policy'. China isn't going to let you mengzhai mf's do that though.
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>>533376159
We have like fifty million cows, we aren’t running out of fertiliser anytime soon. Maybe we can send the jeets out to collect the poop from the fields. We have lots of prime farmland and a very small population. We wouldn’t even suffer power outages since we have a crazy hydropower setup. Fuel shortages here would basically mean that only trucks, agricultural machines and tradies get fuel and everyone else is walking or biking which is fine since we don’t live a hundred miles of highway away from our jobs We will still get hit but it won’t be the holobunga that other places will have.
There is a reason all the richfags build their doomsday bunkers here.
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>>533376258
you'll be fine on a 10-20 year horizont I give you that cunt
>>533376264
my theory is that the US currently got two primary objectives
1. get the tankers out of the persian gulf for an oil infusion that allows for a less painful second round of fighting (iran must from their amoral point prevent this at all cost)
2. depress the price of oil before the oil futures come due on wednesday, bessent loaned out oil from the strategic petroleum reserve earlier thus they are holding futures but to serve them the private companies would have to purchase oil spot prices then I think
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>>533375986
>is not germanies fault
It kind of is. Russia is a poor shithole gas station country, specifically Germany's gas station. Germany not stopping the US from provoking a war is Germany's fault, as the most influential European country.
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>>533216692
around april 30th we should see sharp spikes - i had said 21st but that's US crude (WTI) futures. Brent is the most important marker for global trade as many if not all other grades are balanced off of it.
This oil / commodities / futures stuff is really fascinating. The jargon is a bit daunting but here's a good explainer for anyone interested
https://x.com/CRUDEOIL231/status/2043792180310094150
TIL about contango and backwardation
TL;DR SHTF towards the end of April, these current low oil prices are just delirium.
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>>533376258
>our own oil deposits,
That greenoids will never let you use, so what's the point of mentioning it? It's like Germany shutting down all it's nuclear plants.
Instead they'll cut down/pave over the outback to build worthless wind farms
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>>533376258
Nuclear steam cars when?
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>>533376488
No actually they eat grass which is why we are the highest milk exporter per capita on the planet because our shit is actually good unlike the cancer juice most of the planets cows produce off their diet of snoybeans
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>>533376530
They won't mess with us again, they learned their place last time.
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>>533376264
this is irans foreign minister
>In line with the ceasefire in Lebanon...
They had some kind of deal.
trump posted:
>Israel will not be bombing Lebanon any longer. They are PROHIBITED from doing so by the U.S.A. Enough is enough!!!
Israel then immediately broke the ceasefire and now the straight is closed, it never really even had time to open.
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>>533376552
Pipe down former hegemon, you can’t even beat a sand country with flying lawnmowers. My tiny nation of retards could make enough flying lawnmowers to stand off one of your trillion dollar carrier groups now that your shit has been exposed as obsolete.
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>>533376494
Brutal mogging
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>>533376708
It blows that you send all the glowing rocks to the great satan man. I wish you would unfuck your shit and incorporate us as a state, Australia is awesome and our countries could be so cozy chilling at the bottom of the world together doing our own thing while everyone else blows each other to shit.
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>>533376552
>Nothing ever happens kek.
Anon, I....
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>>533376568
Sadly you're getting shafted on the prices, I have lived in NZ for several years and dairy isn't cheaper than in France
I know there's a controversy going on recently as US butter has hit your shelves at a much lower price than NZ butter (but also lower quality)
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>>533376865
Yeah man we get shafted by big corpo like everywhere else on the planet. Cow is two miles down the road yet we have to pay (((international prices))) for our own product because communism bad or some shit. I just get my shit direct from a farm for cheap.
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>>533376862
My gas is lower than in 2022 under Pedo Joe, buddy. Nothing doomer trannies have said has come to pass. It will never come to pass, just like you will never pass as a woman. KEK
>>533376697
You think a lot about cocks and foreskin, fag.
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>>533376973
the US wants iran to release some tankers but keep their blockade going on iranian oil
my theory is that the issue is that iran would do a metered release of tankers but the US wants a burst out
before the next round of fighting
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I have produced so much content, I work hard every day, and Nobody will commit to my channel. I produce tons of planes, missiles, and bologna sandwiches for all of Europe. In fact one of those missiles hit Iran the other day. But these are my terms, I don't live a pitiful life, I just want some engagement, not tons of viewers, but I'm Phil in the Internet.
If anyone wants to name my grilled cheese sandwich, the first one to donate 5 gorillions will get it, and then we will have a Street Fighter marathon.
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>>533376986
>My gas is lower than in 2022 under Pedo Joe
it is because donald epstein trump cut global oil export production by 50%
law of supply and demand is that the less supply the lower the price
watch mark the great one levin to learn more
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POOLS CLOSED
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>>533377097
Call me when my life is affected at all, tranny. Til' then, keep dilating that troongash
>>533377135
And why should I care how prices stay low? Not my fucking problem. Still voting (R) in November. Kiss my balls lil' Ataturk.
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>>533377097
>My gas is lower than in 2022 under Pedo Joe, buddy.
that is bad faith US partisan propaganda, he pretends to be a retarded migger but is a campaign operative
it is too focussed on specific talking points and tailored to for impact
on facebook or twitter he might be some fox news watching boomer, here it is obvious that 90% chance that he is a paid shill
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>>533376960
>I just get my shit direct from a farm for cheap.
Nice lad, I sometimes do as well depends where I'm living
NZ cheese is honestly really good, the country is so fucking deeply green the cows are doing great
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>>533377225
some fox news watching boomer knows who ataturk is
>>533377230
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>>533372047
>The market manipulation is not merely a tool for the insiders to profit, it also serves to soften the blow when news hits that war has resumed.
I don't see how. In fact, I'd argue it does the exact reverse. Fucking up with price discovery only ends in bigger disasters. It doesn't soften anything, it makes the jump even bigger.
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>>533377268
this is an amazing post because the shill slips up in his hick ohh chuck mask as he drops casually the founding father of modern turkey to insult me
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>>533377307
>It doesn't soften anything, it makes the jump even bigger.
In the long term, yes, but Bessent has demonstrated that the US Treasury can indeed suppress paper oil in the short term.
It would make sense to do this if their strategy is a (relatively) quick and decisive victory.
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>>533377359
you are in the wrong place friendo
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Why did he piss his pant? Answer this or you're in for a big surprise.
>you're in
>urine
>surprise.
Ok, I'm out now. bye.
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>>533377515
pledge allegiance to charles de gaulle and denounce the american dogs and putiin
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an american small town redneck with the written dialect who doesn't care about world affairs beyond the pump of his local gas station and that you vote the good ol boy republican party
but posts on belgian choclate statue crafting board in the thread about middle eastern conflict, being aware of german demographics and the founding father of modern turkey
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>>533377656
What? Lmao
>>533377668
What grain are you talking about?
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>>533375822
Looney Dunes
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>>533377692
https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2026/04/17/ukraine-and -israel-in-dispute-over-russian-shi p-carrying-ukrainian-grain_6752539_ 4.html
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>>533377577
we have to fight the CCPee
bring the piss to Hong Kong
getting paid by falun gong
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Iran will keep its ballistic missile deterrence.
There won't be any pro Israel regime change.
Iran will also keep its nuclear power plant projects - that includes low grade enrichment.
The Strait of Hormuz will be kept under control as another huge deterrence against any further attacks.
US will leave the Gulf States.
That is what I see coming
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A ship was allegedly attacked in the Strait of Hormuz.
A tanker/cargo that tried to sneak without an authorization from the IRGC ? Possibly the "Sanmar Herald" that renamed to "IndianshipIndianCrew" recently
https://xcancel.com/MenchOsint/status/2045438966854217931
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>>533377865
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Happening status?
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>>533377957
>The US would have to suffer a humilitating military defeat before they capitulate to any of these demands by Iran.he US would have to suffer a humilitating military defeat before they capitulate to any of these demands by Iran.
Iran doesn't really demand anything they don't already control.
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>>533377068
I think it’s entirely in Irans interest to drag everything out as long as possible. And if they aren’t shooting all the better.
Their main weapon is economic surge in the dollar system and its derivative markets. Saving as much of their assets and weapons for the freak our tantrum later is best when the first big wave of inflation and shortages really hits the west as stocks wind down.