gas players early wakeup and report to cronulla by 7am for punishing beach sprints, recovery and goalkicking practice

>whenever shitney faces a top team, they always have massive outs through injury or suspension
im nooticing

I played against Heeney when he was 16, I remember he took a huge grab

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>going to be funny watching curnow and shitney choke against his old team
>doesnt count unless you beat the reigning premiers
>be funny if west coast knock them off
>gold coast are le chokers
>funny how gws has all these injuries
you are here

>>154255844
based black diamond chad
>ynr warners bay change rooms

The wogballer janny fears the shirtless Heeney

>>154255973
I played for Warners Bay, I remember them well kek

it looked like toby did another 'studs up' in the marking contest (and got booed for it) but this time his feet were firmly points towards the ground, not into the ribs of his opponent
old dogs learn new tricks

>>154256689
still fielding blokes with full drivers licences and beards in the u17s ?

>>154255753
is ts tuff in afl?

>>154256719
No idea, haven’t played since 2019. Who did you play for?

>>154256901
im an unc, played in the 90s for Nelson Bay

>>154256920
Ah nice, you guys had a good side back then, or at least in seniors. Too bad the comp has gone to shit now

>>154255753
believe it or not this is pretty much how I look ngl

gma

gm

ROLE

You are an expert sports betting analyst specialising in AFL.

You have deep knowledge of team form, player injuries, head-to-head records, venue conditions, and line movement.


TASK

Your task is to build a [NUMBER]-leg multi (parlay) for [DATE].

Target combined odds: [ODDS — e.g. $10–$20]

Confidence threshold: Only include legs where your estimated win probability is above [%].


ANALYSIS CRITERIA

For each potential leg, assess ALL of the following before including it:

- Recent form (last 5 matches)

- Head-to-head record at this venue

- Key player availability / injury news

- Home vs away performance split

- Market line movement (sharp money indicators)

- Public betting percentage vs your estimated true probability

- Weather / surface conditions where relevant

ONLY include a leg if it passes all relevant checks.


BET TYPE CONSTRAINTS

Allowed bet types: [e.g. Head-to-head, Line/Handicap, Totals, Player props]

Minimum odds per leg: [e.g. $1.50]

Maximum odds per leg: [e.g. $3.50]

Avoid same-game legs in the same match: [YES / NO]


OUTPUT FORMAT

Return your answer in this exact structure for each leg:


LEG [N]: [Match Name]

Market: [Bet type]

Selection: [Your pick]

Odds: [Decimal odds]

Est. win probability: [Your estimate %]

Edge: [Odds imply X% — you estimate Y% — edge of Z%]

Key reasoning: [2–3 sentences maximum]

Risk flags: [Any concern that could kill this leg]


---

MULTI SUMMARY

Total legs: [N]

Combined odds: [X]

Recommended stake: [$ or % of bankroll]

Confidence: [Low / Medium / High]

One-line narrative: [Why this multi makes sense today]


CONTEXT (optional — remove if not using)

>>154256920
>>154256689
>central coasters in the house
i want to move up there

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morning alf

Might have a mental health episode in front of some big boobed chicky babes. Get some arms thrown around me perhaps.

>>154256987
All alfas look like this

>>154257206
women dont find a mentie b endearing

>>154257215
what about hitting the glass barbie?

was old mate playing good footy the weeks before his "mental health episode"? i hannay watched a bleuseurs game this year

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>>154257226
*exposes you*

da BONT is still missing

>>154257224
now we're talking

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=ovLx47aV7V0

>vfl umpie fell over backwards
KWAB

did that sooky fucko spazz out last night? seems every week he spins swans winning as further signs, more cncrete proofs that they're bad ? last time he spun on his heels and called me a tradie lol

if he did it was drowned out by cheetlong mong

>>154257437
>>154255918
he has officially reached kwab status

>still whinging about the multiple sydney seethers itt
genuinely mindbroken kek

gma

>>154255753
least gay sydney supporter
>>154257242
he should bring back this look, elvenmaxx

load up on the dosn winning because the scumpire known as nick foot will rig a win for sportsbet

dog had a mental episode today when turned on the steamer to froth some milk for my coffee

wrap your arms around him

>>154257570
so you haven'y necked yet? oh well weekends not over.

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>>154257610

yeah i'll just put the lifeline number at the end of me saying something that'll solve it all

>>154257648
you're having a sook induced melty kek

nick foot had a mental health episode. we need to wrap our arms around him.

>>154257653
come on monkechad at least you'll get a win

spazz, I only wanted to know if you were still with us, >>154257437
seems you are, thats just delightful, your eventual backflip off a bridge will be a glorious conclusion to this comp. now finish your ice cream and swallow your meds, breakfast is nearly over. theres a good boy.

>>154257570
Let him have this, he only gets to do this once every two years

might wrap my arms around my dick later

Good morning alf

this guy is genuinely mindbroken kek
cant wait til he commits suicide after another grand final pounding

>>154257691
let's wrap our feet around him

>>154257437
Based on your grammar, he’s probably not far from the truth

melty alert
even in a win he sooks

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>>154257732
morning fellow /alf/a, beautiful day today, no?

>>154257704
hope so
wanna send dimma into another snafu

i have never had boost before

i'm so fucking dumb and retarded i even failed tradie school

carn the [redacted]

>>154257691
Might wrap by belt around his neck iykwim haha

>>154257777
crispola beyond belief

And we may never meet again
So shed your skin and let's get started
And you will throw your arms around me
Yes, you WILL throw your arms around me

>dogs cats ended up being boring
>every other game this round is mid
sad

2024 broke him kek

>>154257798
Collingwood winning the flag in 2023 after the swans cheated to beat Collingwood in 2022 prelim only to get flogged in the GF is what broke him

>>154257777
minor spelling error ruined these quads

swasn seether has been seething since before the season started
now he says everyone else is seething because sydney keeps wiping out contenders and making his low iq predictions look retarded
top kek

>gws
is the contender in the room with us?

you can act smug all you want but we all know the fear is there on what will happen on the last saturday of september

Sydney had no business making recent grand finals. Bunch of kids, middle of the road passengers and old cunt passengers. More a reflection of how shit the comp was letting them make it to one.
They are the all australian squad this year, the entire team and the flag is all but guaranteed.
you may now seethe :D

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can someone give me a qr on the latest persona rivalry

you think curnow looks dogshit now
wait till you see the mindbroken finals version of him

my cup runneth over

>>154257756
Yes mate going to spend some time in the garden today

you legendary bogan cunts watching the supercars?

>>154257954
got to pick up my meth first

There's a sydney supporter (who might be a tradie) who's in a war with a guy who baits him every round. Both of them claim the other is sperging out. Think thats the basics.

>play darcy in the ruck because you are a steaming pile of dogshit without english
>he gets injured
im telling you fellas, darcy is going to do a daniher and leave his father son club
bookmark this
screenshot it
send it to your nan

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>amarty and curnow will win finals for us

>>154257954
Used to but the death of the Holden and the neutering of Ford killed any local motorsport passion for me.

wasnt the whole darcy family in tears last year because he "did a knee" and it turned out been a 1 month injury
dont trust this softcock family

>>154258004
I'll just show her when I get the meth.

>>154258046
nah that was the Selwood sookies. Why didn't he just walk it off? so much for tough geelong stock.

>>154258046
thats what im saying
luke darcy and and the dogs s&c team area already at odds with each other and luke darcy makes his son seek external assistance to which the s&c group hate

he's gone imho
playing him the ruck wouldve sent luke darcy into tizzy because he knows his son is a walking LTI due to his fault overloading his training regime

>>154258085
no it happened
dont ever fucking correct me again fuckhead

Who the fuck wins today?

dont even know whos playing haha

>>154258142
you made me look at todays game and i got an impending sense of dread
what a fucking shit day now

>>154258142
'burgs lad
tee off against shit kilda in one bong

>>154258142
whoever the voices tell me to bandwagon. I'll just say _____ won anyways and rub my shit on my face and piss myself like ever day.

why did everyone sleep on archie roberts?

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>dogs getting serious injuries and no longer favourites to beat Sydney
swanbros... the stars are aligning for us. this is our year

>>154258337
phone poster pretending to not be a phone poster alert

>>154258337
cant wait for this big fraud matchup

>>154258358
don't you own a mirror?

think spending my weekends here is bad for my mental health

Gotta crisp weekend of footy and /alf/ ahead of me.

>>154258442
same
>>154258456
same

i havent showered since last wednesday. i stink so fucking bad. my arse and balls reek, my pits reek, my feet are black and my hairs all greasy

Think I might go to an auction without any intention of buying the house and have small talk with strangers

>>154257777
haha ikwym haha iykwim haha

>>154258558
based mrs pink

imagine the smell at auctions these days

>>154258153
same lol

reckon the sainters are a chance

>>154258348
i do this

drink what you want to drink
post how you want to post

>>154258705
yeah mmmm

>>154258142
Gold Coast
Hawks
Saints

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Bubby be in an ALDI commercial.
FUCK YOU ALDI, STRIKE ME DOWN IF YOU DARE.

>>154258674
against my burgs?

i reckon rhys mathison might post here
definitely /pol/

carlton football club really allowed a drug fucked cunt off his face run around in circles for the match and barely fell short of beating the pies

collingwood are more cooked than west coast in 2021

>>154257148
neither of those places are on the central coast

>>154259016
he looks like a more athletic, chadlike version of scoops

>VFL
>GC 16.21 117 def by. Ess 19.9 123
My Bombies!

>>154259222
bad cicking is bad football

>cicking

cick cick

victorian teams are all pretty shit this year. geelongs running with no water in the radiator, dogs are buckbroken, collingwood are struggling against wooden spooners and look old, carlton are just dog shit, north and saints spent all their cash on temu knock offs, bummers are fractured, melbourne are bog average.
hawks look alright cant see em doing anything without grandpa gunston though and their mids are overrated.
Seems like most of them play kick to tall man, mark, stop, repeat. Outdated and easily defeated by fast running teams like bane gc swans freo, dogs play that style well but didnt put in the pre season to sustain it, hawks are trying to play that style.
South Aus teams are pretty shit as well.

>>154259377
it really looks like us new south welshman, queenslanders, and canberrans need to teach th rest how to play proper footy

>>154259377
cats v hawks gf, cope and seethe all you want

>>154259377
Corr spicy NVKE

the dawn of the devil empire is upon us

tasmania devils inaugural co-captains alex pearce and nick daicos

Why is there a Mandarin call of the Port game on channel 503 later?

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>>154259427
>

>>154259455
the port faithful in shang hai never stopped following their favourite team

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>>154259478

im a broken man

>>154259561
on a halifax pier

>>154259034
i thought that area around newy still clunted as central coast. in any case, lake macquarie, newcastle and new england are the best areas in aus.

>>154259567
crisp

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clunted

IF i can't have you
THEN i don't want nobody baby

IF I can't have stew
THEN I don't want no dinner, baby

IF you don't know me by now
THEN you will never ever know me

IF you leave me now
THEN you'll take away the biggest part of me