Thread #62127605
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peace in the middle east, let's continue making money off AI and the death of SaaS and wagiecattle of edition
>I'm a poor bobo incel who wants to bitch and moan about the strait of hormuz and sandwars
>>>/pol/
>Educational sites:
https://www.investopedia.com
https://www.khanacademy.org/economics-finance-domain
>Financial TV Streams:
https://www.newslive.com/american/cnbc.html
https://www.livestreamy.net/bloomberg/
>Charts:
https://www.tradingview.com
https://www.finscreener.com
https://www.portfoliovisualizer.com
>Screeners: so you feel like in the movies
https://finviz.com/
https://etfdb.com/
>Gambling:
https://www.optionsplaybook.com/options-introduction/
https://www.optionsprofitcalculator.com
https://optionstrat.com/
https://www.optionistics.com/quotes/option-prices
>Pre-Market and Live data:
https://www.investing.com/indices/indices-futures
https://finance.yahoo.com/
>Calendars
https://www.marketwatch.com/economy-politics/calendar
https://www.earningswhispers.com/calendar
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/countdown-to-fomc.html
https://www.mortgagenewsdaily.com/data/building-permits
>Boomer Investing 101: so zoomers with meme stocks can outperform you
https://www.bogleheads.org/wiki/Getting_started
https://www.sec.gov/search-filings
>Misc smg:
https://www.financialjuice.com/home
https://finance.yahoo.com/trending-tickers
https://market24hclock.com/
https://www.dividendchannel.com/drip-returns-calculator
https://brokerchooser.com/
https://www.chathamfinancial.com/technology/us-market-rates
>NEW THREAD: Copy-paste the following when making a new thread:
https://pastebin.com/GfB48W5G
On the last episode of /smg/
>>62126991
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pray for him
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> futures
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Worldwide fuel crisis begins at the end of the month.
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>>62127626
when will you monkeys stfu?
at 8k s&p?
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>>62127626
I can't wait to schlong oil on Monday
KEK SPY BAGGIES
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>>62127627
Sorry to break your constructed Epstein reality, but the real world still exists, and it's going to fuck you up.
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>>62127605
I can tolerate being wrong for a little while. In the end I am right. Israel will not allow this to end.
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>>62127636
duh
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How do I cope being European? There are no jobs, nothing, I'm forced to subsist on a 500k inheritance for the rest of my life. Thank god I don't have to pay rent but 500k for 50 years? Ain't there no fucking way man
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>Oil goes up in price (in real value not futures)
>Oil companies double their money ($30 million in LNG now sells for $70 million, just as an example)
>Oil companies and employees take extra moneys they get and give it to banks and other fund managers.
>Banks and fundies use it to buy more stonks.
>Line goes up and too the right.
All easily predictable if you can comprehend 2nd and 3rd order effects.
Tell me Bobo, how would you feel if you didn’t have breakfast this morning?
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>>62127610
>by definition if you are poor you are homeless
homeless means someone who lives in the streets, not someone who doesn't own a home.
also, do you know how many "middle class" people don't have their own houses? do you know how many poors do the most basic work in this society?
you are braindead, bro. bet you are a gaymer or a crypto retard.
go touch grass.
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>>62127632
because a lot of this is theater. iran probably didn't want to get bombed at all and wanted a deal before this started, but because of their tenuous position and few friends, they weren't able to make a deal without violence. they have a partnership with china which is their most important lifeline, they provide the defense systems to keep the irgc in power and are basically their guarantors. china provides them what they need to retaliate to what was going on beforehand, and for them to have rolled over when they still had that capability would have been seen as a betrayal and violation of trust. positioning ships for a blockade however is something that china cannot help them with, and it is a coup-de-grace threat that their leadership has to deal with. this gives them space to capitulate honorably without it being a strategic betrayal of china, they prove that they are faithful partners, or at least don't shatter the illusion.
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jerome please
stocks are not high enough
please fix
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>>62127632
Do you guys seriously just ignore all the real news and lap up zionist propaganda and trump tweets?
1- The President of the United States made seven claims in one hour, all seven of which were false.
2- They did not win the war with these lies, and they will certainly not get anywhere in negotiations either.
3- With the continuation of the blockade, the Strait of Hormuz will not remain open.
4- Passage through the Strait of Hormuz will be conducted based on the "designated route" and with "Iranian authorization."
5- Whether the Strait is open or closed and the regulations governing it will be determined by the field, not by social media.
6- Media warfare and engineering public opinion are an important part of war, and the Iranian nation is not affected by these tricks. Read the real and accurate news of the negotiations in the recent interview of the Foreign Ministry spokesman.
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>>62127659
>jerome please
>stocks are not high enough
>please fix
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>>62127659
Mr. Jerome could you pretty please deposit 2 trillion dollars of QE into my portfolio?
Thank you Mr. Jerome.
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>bear here, let me tell you about the REAL world
>the more money i lose the more RIGHT i KNOW i am.
>the strait is eternally closed in my mind.
>2 more weeks forever. i'll die waiting if i have to.
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>>62127666
>Mr. Jerome could you pretty please deposit 2 trillion dollars of QE into my portfolio?
>Thank you Mr. Jerome.
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>>62127661
i just read headlines and treat them like a storyboard and fill in the gaps myself. i read a lot of news when i was younger so i basically have a trained llm in my head. for example i just read the first line of your post and composed a reply based on it's likely content, i'll bet it's pretty germane.
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>>62127605
Tump is going to TACO on Warsh.
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>>62127671
Warsh is a trojan horse. He's LARPing as a dove to get the job. Read what he's been saying more closely. He always makes his talks about cutting rates conditional on there being low inflation. He's really a massive monetary hawk.
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>>62127663
you are talking to literal browns when you engage with these people
they have no frame of reference for how markets work or futures work. Or the future works in general. they live in the now because their brains are quite literally not engineered to think in the future because they breed like rats and don't live very long. India and china have mortality rates 10x the US because they're literally hive people. They should be exterminated. All browns should. Including kikes.
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Think we'll see some red next week? This shit has been ridiculous.
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>>62127680
to the brown thirdworldist, the only thing that keeps them alive is "maintaining face" which means putting up a false image of success or atleast, not dying to a hellfire missile. It's like a small ant biting a human's toe, declaring victory, then getting brutally annihilated when it's smacked. They do not think about the future, only how they are percieved in the present
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>>62127680
>>62127681
>>62127686
Wow, what very organic posts! Better blow my life savings to move the stock market in the direction that our blackmailed politicians want.
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>62127690
no (you) for you, groyper
kill yourself you brown pedophile kike loving fag loving fuck
kill yourself
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>>62127677
I agree.
His talk at the Hoover institution makes it very obvious he's a boomercon simping for Friedman.
All of the things he values are things Trump hates:
>laissez faire free markets
>responsible spending
>classical conservatism
>balanced budgets
>winding down fed balance sheet
Every opinion he holds is antithetical to Trump's Roosevelt need to plan and intervene in absolutely every instance.
Trump is shitting on Jerome but Jerome's interventionism and heavy hand make him exactly Trump's sort of chap.
I view the probability that he is there to buy confidence from markets that eventually things will be reigned in as very high.
He will TACO and put a compliant heavy hander in there at the last moment.
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>>62127690
I'll stick listening to people that can move the market and not worship whatever the fuck these people are.
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>>62127698
this would be terrifying if it wasn't inevitable in the first place
>>62127696
this poster literally sucks brown dicks for money
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>>62127696
>muh groupers
Kek, I've lost a of respect for you over the last few weeks, buncunstein.
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>62127707
YOU ARE LITERALLY BROWN LMAO
KILL YOURSELF FOR THE CRIME OF BEING BROWN
>62127708
ANOTHER BROWN SHITSTAIN DETECTED NO (YOU) FOR YOU, BROWNBOY
only whites are allowed to talk in this thread, why are you alive?
you faggot nigger groypers spam pol all day with bait and bullshit to try to pied piper the right into some brown FAGGOT's PEDOPHILE DEATH CULT FOR FAGS
INSTEAD OF ENCOURAGING WHITES TO BREED HE SAYS HAVINGS SEX IS GAY
BECAUSE HE SIDES WITH BROWNS BECAUSE HE IS A TEST TUBE BROWN FAGGOT
KILL YOURSELVES JADEN WAS RIGHT
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>>62127700
>>62126955
WHAT DID THEY SAY
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>>62127721
>Buncunstein is on the /ptg/ shill discord and is projecting everywhere because of it.
O i am laffin
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Thoughts on investing in WEAT? The oilshocks havent hit yet and the fertilizer shortage is also going to affect things meanwhile wheat has barely moved, thpughts?
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>spy must crash, israel is bombing some turdies in lebanon or something, professor chinkoid said so
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WE making moves?
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>>62127733
How do I fertilize my crops with futures contracts? Does it work like brawndo?
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>retards here fell for the April shakeout 2 years in. a row
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>>62127743
what does thatmean
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Changing the number on a computer screen doesn't affect the finite supply of physical commodities. Inflation either manifests itself in price increases or shortages, and evidently the Epsteinites have decided that shortages are more palatable.
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im officially spooked
i solded all my UPRO at 119 aka yesterdays SPY ATH just in case we got a friday reverse taco
also sold my AVGO at 370
Profit is profit so I'm not mad that upro is 125 now, but i have no idea when to get out of tqqq
I'm not supposed to be up this bigly I'm genuinely scared
how do you guys hold on to profitable positions?
i seem to have no problem bagholding but i get deeply uncomfortable when im up
the stock market is rigged against mentally ill self sabotaging idiot baggies like myself :(
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>>62127767
>Changing the number on a computer screen doesn't affect the finite supply of physical commodities
but it does affect the value of your portfolio. you can still play the 2nd and 3rd order effects, but its retarded to sit on the sidelines or lose money waiting for them.
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>>62127773
Most of your biomass came from petroleum. Now there isn't any.
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> futures
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>>62127749
anti-logic hurts my brain.
it seems there's so much "fuck you" money concentrated at the highest levels, they possess enough capital to force an illogical play to become the correct play.
the sky is blue but they have enough capital to pay everyone to say the sky is green.
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Cool
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>>62127785
my tqqq avg is 42, i dont think ill get a good entry like that again for a while which is why im hesitant to sell.
im not all in, tqqq is about 24% of my port
my biggest position is schd at 40%
for once i did some good moves, i boughted the dip, did shares and not calls so i dont get theta fucked, boughted something that actually went up for once and my portfolio was diverse enough that the dump didnt completely fuck me
Problem is I don't know what to do after that, I'm not used to being up kek
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>>62127634
>international energy agency
fucking who?
whatever... its their fault for not giving us whatever the fuck we want. If you didnt want to die you would have just let us rape you
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I am learning so much this evening about how they are pumping trillions in without it affecting the Fed balance sheet, which has also expanded by 300 billion in a month.
Mr Bobo is much closer than I originally thought.
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>>62127819
someone pls post picrel but for 2026
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Iran literally says pool is still closed. So what the fuck are you guys talking about.
We're gonna get a blood red monday, I gurantee it.
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uh anons
where do you get your finance?
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>>62127852
yea well my literal who twitter cap says the strait is open
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Imagine being a doomer. You know the reality of the current situation and you know there is nothing you can do to stop it, but you refuse to enter the market as a bull to scavenge any and all capital you can while the scavenging is good and the market is euphoric. No, you doom yourself to sleep instead and complain that life is not fair. You didnt "grab the bull by the horns" when it was at its utmost critical time to do so. For your own survival. For the future of you. Like a motorcycle rider who gets target fixated on the turn, his survival reactions squeeze the brakes causing the motorcycle to stand up. He continues to look at the place he will crash, and then does so. You see your own doom and make it reality for yourself.
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bear copium
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>>62127900
oh i'm sure you have your very own satellites in the sky tracking traffic and you're not relying on 3rd party sources at all riiiiight
my twitter caps are just as valid as anyone's
more so because they're arabic and muslims never lie, it's forbidden
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>>62127897
I have 20k on a 3x leverage oil with a buy in when oil was at 75, and i dumped another 20k on the dip today after profiting on the current giga pump.
Shit is going up for oil, and back down for everything else (not a giga crash, but probably back at 6700 spy).
I'm not a bear, or a bull, i just want money when i see it.
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>>62127852
>the bagar ligma says
just dont care. if you dont have long positions now or cash to slurp youll never make it. we might be headed down but the meat of the crisis is unironically priced. we arent having the crash youre craving anytime soon. sorry
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>>62127921
delet this post!
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>>62127921
it means Trump Always TACOs Out
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>>62127920
>>62127936
anon knows
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>>62127920
>>62127936
>>62127965
I saw 2026 is a sell year according to benner cycles. Midterm seasonality also calls for a rally in april followed by bleeding until september. I will unironically be selling in may and going away.
2035 is the next crash year apparently. I could see SPY getting retired then, if systematic failures happen
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headed to the gym babes. hard times are coming but not the ones you have in mind.
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Trump last hour:
Trump already contradicted himself in the last hour.
>"We may start bombing them again if we don't get a deal Wednesday".
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>>62128012
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>>62127605
changed the text
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New ship stats
Feb 26 132 vessels
Feb 27 128 vessels
Feb 28 98 vessels
Mar 01 18 vessels
Mar 02 7 vessels
Mar 03 2 vessels
Mar 04 2 vessels
Mar 05 1 vessel
Mar 06 0 vessels
Mar 07 1 vessel
Mar 08 2 vessels
Mar 09 1 vessel
Mar 10 2 vessels
Mar 11 1 vessel
Mar 12 0 vessels
Mar 13 3 vessels
Mar 14 1 vessel
Mar 15 0 vessels
Mar 16 1 vessel
Mar 17 2 vessels
Mar 18 1 vessel
Mar 19 0 vessels
Mar 20 1 vessel
Mar 21 2 vessels
Mar 22 3 vessels
Mar 23 5 vessels
Mar 24 6 vessels
Mar 25 2 vessels
Mar 26 7 vessels
Mar 27 4 vessels
Mar 28 12 vessels
Mar 29 2 vessels
Mar 30 4 vessels
Mar 31 5 vessels
Apr 1 8 vessels
Apr 2 6 vessels
Apr 3 14 vessels
Apr 4 10 vessels
Apr 5 11 vessels
Apr 6 7 vessels
Apr 7 11 vessels
Apr 8 5 vessels
Apr 9 9 vessels
Apr 10 8 vessels
Apr 11 14 vessels
Apr 12 14 vessels
Apr 13 7 vessels
Apr 14 16 vessels
Apr 15 9 vessels
Apr 16 5 vessels
Apr 17 8 vessels
Oil under $90 is free
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>>62127769
>but i have no idea when to get out of tqqq
>I'm not supposed to be up this bigly I'm genuinely scared
considering how crazy up up up the rally has been, you should be able to set a tight trailing stop
the market has hardly gone down at all, just monotonic up. so your setting a stop here, a close one, really will be your easy insurance mode.
just update it every day to a level you are comfortable with.
if it triggers, wait 1 hour, get clearheaded, and decide if you want to get back in or if you think "this is it" and the rally has stopped and then will start bouncing back down.
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>>62127803
>my tqqq avg is 42, i dont think ill get a good entry like that again for a while which is why im hesitant to sell.
>im not all in, tqqq is about 24% of my port
don't think about the price you bought it at
think about the price it is today
would you buy more of it today? if not, then think about selling. or at least a stop loss to sell for you.
Do you want more of that asset, right now, at today's price? That answers the question for you. if you think the move is mostly played out, and you don't want more tqqq, then set a tighter stop. or a spread of stops I guess.
if you think there is more to go, then buy more. this mental exercise really is useful. "Would I buy more today at today's price?" if not, then sell. or just be careful.
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>>62127828
>>62127819
So far I count:
Fed balance sheet direct:
>300 Billion
SPR rule change
>1 Trillion April 1
Trump directed buying @ FHFA by Fannie and Freddie
>200 Billion
April 10th letter from FHLB Director to use FHLB letters of credit as collateral at the discount window
>Basically infinite printing so long as you settle up by the 10q when blanket lien status is calculated. FHLB say "yep he's good for it" and you can borrow away ad infiditum per Trump dirrective
I don't think this is the exact mechanism though, my theory is some sort of crypto-reverse Hong Kong tap facility type thing.
This is based on nothing but vibes but is my strongest conviction atm (through about 15 of 60 pages of chats for potential central bank scams used in the past for crypto-stealth liquidity ops)
I noticed how intense the grip was on the SPYs throat and how it snapped back at regular intervals in an un-algo like way.
Going theory is that like the HK thing its probably some sort of swap theyve cooked up that is a
>"A swap line or funding facility with an embedded equity reference."
that ticks every 5 minutes to the SPY like the HK scheme to save all the flailing banks. This would create natural upward pressure.
But again I still have a lot to get through this weekend.
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>>62128012
I SHOULDVE SOLD THOSE BEAR SPREADS INSTEAD OF RIPPING POWDER ALL DAY
I SHOULDVE SOLD THOSE BEAR SPREADS INSTEAD OF RIPPING POWDER ALL DAY
I SHOULDVE SOLD THOSE BEAR SPREADS INSTEAD OF RIPPING POWDER ALL DAY
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>>62128043
In addition for FED H.8:
>10.5 billion in repos added this week
Line 31
>+7 billion
Total of roughly 1.6ish trillion of effective printing, no wonder DXY took a massive shit before they intervened this morning.
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I should have gone full port oil and oil calls.
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>>62128049
1.6ish trillion
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I have never seen a more toppy scenario in my entire life. What an absolute shitshow this has been for the past 2 months.
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>>62128012
Did you forget that Trump's true desire is for Iran to give up their enriched uranium?
>US marines are trained for specialized military missions to secure, extract, or seize radioactive material, including highly enriched uranium, from hostile environments
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Few more up days until 7300, then midterm year slouch begins.
Nothing massive. Completely normal shit.
We've been in one big Wyckoff cycle since Jerome was a little baby bitch boy sticking it to Trump with his hawk cut last fall. It's no longer valid.
Powell is such a piece of shit it's actually fucking insane he's threatening to stay on on the board. I promise I'm one of the people in these threads shitting on Trump. That's my bias. And even I can see Powell and his merry band of sycophants are dragging their feet not doing their real fucking job to not give Trump W's. Powell will sit their talking to a class of Harvard students about look how smart I am none of this stuff was inflationary I was right and everyone else was wrong then talk right out the side of his mouth saying he can't cut rates because he's concerned about inflation. Such a fucking liar.
Anyhow I digress. You guys should check out gambling on NFLX returning to normal too there were a few off exchange sweeps that reported that's how the big boys are trading their shitty conference call that battered them down.
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>>62128059
>
Powell's only fault is being too soft on inflation. >>62127664 >>62127668
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>>62128056
This is just my estimate.
Its possible people already moved to the rule before April 1, though it mooning on April 1 suggests otherwise.
SPR Makes too much sense, it creates artificial demand for treasuries everyone is dumping and liquidity to pump the SPY, and it occurs on the exact same day as the reversal to a potential tune of 1 trilly.
That seems like a smoking gun thoughever my theory still does not explain the snapping tick on the price action.
I am tired though now from doing so much research, for now i am guessing the HK precedent funding tied to a 5-10 minute tick on the SPX average value - again soley based on vibes.
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>>62128061
>Son, we can't give him money. He'll spend it on more puts.
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>>62128092
some guess could have been manufacturers of adenosine gamma s since multiple experiments on metabolism would have required molecules akin to it but the companies proper would have had to have been looked at
Several key suppliers and manufacturers produce Adenosine 5′-[
-thio]triphosphate (ATP-
-S or ATP-
-S), a non-hydrolyzable ATP analog used in research, particularly for kinase studies and P2 purinergic agonist studies.
Major Manufacturers and Suppliers
Sigma-Aldrich (Merck): A primary supplier offering Adenosine 5′-[
-thio]triphosphate tetralithium salt (e.g., A1388, A2647).
Enzo Life Sciences: Produces ATP-
-S and related gamma-thio derivatives.
Jena Bioscience: Specializes in
-phosphate modified adenosine nucleotides.
Cayman Chemical: Supplies Adenosine 5′-(
-thio)-triphosphate (lithium salt).
MedChemExpress (MCE): Provides ATP-
-S tetralithium salt for research.
BIOLOG Life Science Institute: Offers specialized nucleotide analogs including ATP-
-S.
Millipore: Listed as a supplier of 5′-O-(3-Thiotriphosphate).
Targetmol Chemicals Inc. & AA BLOCKS, INC.: Listed as suppliers for this compound.
Product Details
Common Form: Tetralithium salt (often in powder or solution).
CAS Number: 93839-89-5.
Key Application: Used in biochemical studies as a non-hydrolyzable ATP analogue and a P2 purinergic agonist.
Storage: Typically stored at -20 celsius
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>>62128093
im just shitting on the bears who were delusional
>im right and every global market is wrong!
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>>62128092
have fun
https://www.chemicalbook.com/ProductList_En.aspx?cbn=CB5702961
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>>62128084
>CFHLB-Letter-to-Pulte-re-March-2026-EO-20260410.pdf
>III. A. I.
>A central theme of the FHLBank-Federal Reserve Banks’ discussions has been the need to reduce the time and operational frictions associated with moving collateral from an FHLBank to a Federal Reserve Bank when a member institution needs to shift its primary source of secured funding from the FHLBank to the Federal Reserve Bank.
>As one of several tools under review to help address this problem, we developed a proposal under which a Federal Reserve Bank, as beneficiary, would accept a short-term letter of credit issued by an FHLBank to secure discount window advances to a shared member institution. Under this structure, the FHLBank letter of credit would be fully secured by collateral ALREADY PLEDGED by the member to the FHLBank, but the Federal Reserve Bank would obtain an irrevocable repayment obligation from the issuing FHLBank, enabling the member to borrow promptly at the discount window while the underlying collateral transfer processes are being prepared, if necessary. This tool is designed to serve as a bridge mechanism during periods of stress, including weekends and off-hours, when timing and valuation challenges are most acute.19
To me this is the most concerning. As far as I can understand, most of these pledges are held at the banks themselves and only checked under blanket rule each 10q.
The letter allows them to avoid a fed check. So and SVB could effectively run its own printer, as long as it settled up at the end of the quarter. And I have seen regional banks do this, pay down their gibs balance right before the 10k while their averages were high.
Perhaps someone understands the issue better than me, but this is how it seems to me, self directed ancap printing if you were a dishonest banker. If your bank was failing you might throw that money into risky leverage to save yourself making it many times worse.
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>>62128059
powell is the only adult left in the room and youre a dumb fucking nigger. clear runway to 2% inflation and the cheeto imposes tariffs. fine, i dont even mind tariffs. but dont lie and pretend they arent inflationary or AT MINIMUM cloud the path forward. then fuck with oil and still yell and shart your pants that rates are too high when inflation obviously is refusing to go back down to 2% firmly. you idiot. you gorilla.
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>>62128104
Anyway that is my research smiggers im in early stages so please feel free to critique or point out errors if you spot them and know something about it.
I am a bobo and would rather be right/accurate than feel right/be rich like a filthy good for nothing effeminate no balls mumu.
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>>62128114
fun fact
As of April 2026, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) maintains a target federal funds rate range of 3.50% to 3.75%, with the effective federal funds rate (EFFR) generally trading within this range. FHLBanks act as major lenders in this market, holding >90% of lending share, often providing liquidity below the Fed's Interest on Reserve Balances (IORB) rate.
Key Interest Rate Details
Target Range: 3.50% - 3.75%.
Effective Federal Funds Rate (EFFR): Approximately 3.64% as of mid-April 2026.
Overnight Bank Funding Rate (OBFR): A volume-weighted median of federal funds, Eurodollar, and domestic deposit transactions, reported by the Federal Reserve Bank of New York.
FHLBank Role: Federal Home Loan Banks (FHLBs) provide significant overnight liquidity to banks, often lending at rates that reflect Federal Reserve Board (.gov) and Congress.gov monitoring of the FHLB system.
Discount Window (Primary Credit): 3.75% as of April 16, 2026.
Recent Market Trends
Stable Rates: Despite fluctuations in Treasury repo rates, the fed funds rate has shown high stability, driven by the concentrated lending of FHLBanks.
FHLB Borrowing: FHLBank borrowing increased significantly in recent years as domestic deposits decreased and rates rose.
Liquidity Drivers: The Federal Reserve Bank of Dallas notes that 11 FHLBs now function as the primary lenders, providing stability to the overnight rate.
For the most up-to-date data on FHLB advances, refer directly to specific FHLB district websites, such as FHLB Des Moines.
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>>62128126
https://www.gao.gov/products/gao-26-107996
Financial Audit: Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation Funds' 2025 and 2024 Financial Statements
GAO-26-107996 Published: Mar 26, 2026. Publicly Released: Mar 26, 2026.
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>>62128114
making money is being right
im not going to take a persons analysis seriously if they aren't here to make money,. you can scream the sky is falling like chicken little all you want but the markets will run until it does
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>>62128126
>For the most up-to-date data on FHLB advances, refer directly to specific FHLB district websites, such as FHLB Des Moines.
Unfortunately they dont publish volume as far as i can tell, the only we is from the Quarterly Call data a bit in advance of fin statements.
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>>62128123
>>62128137
>Mumu subhuman misunderstands obvious self deprecating ironic posting
Many bulls are doing this!
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>>62128104
>as long as it settled up at the end of the quarter
look up Lehman Brothers and Repo 105. Many if not all financial institutions do these tricks to show they are within limits. Its when noone wants your shitty collateral one day they implode. The Fed has has to step in numerous times to shore up the repo facility. I remember Sept 2019 specifically.
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>>62128112
It doesn't matter what you believe. It doesn't matter what I believe.
What matters is that Powell acts contrary to what he himself believes because fuck Trump. Which is why that other anon saying Powell is too soft on inflation doesn't even bear responding to.
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Anyone here trade on the ASX? I'm asleep while US markets are open but I still want to discuss gains
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>>62128167
post them
https://de.finance.yahoo.com/quote/EVK.DE/
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So guys, when's the next crash/bear market coming? It looks like this whole middle-eastern escapade has been a mild detour, but I suspect we've already been pretty close to the end of the current bull run. I don't know what will give, but the warning signs are starting to pile up.
I don't expect some catastrophic dot com bubble burts/housing market crash or long-term stagflation, but we shall see.
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>>62128114
good job bozo you found out what's been going on since the 2019 repo crisis
they're going to have social media companies issue unaudited stablecoins backed by US treasuries and offload the consequences of the money printer to the brown world. Mr Bobo never gets to cum
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>>62128185
it's possible to bet on those very sofrs that would supposedly have spiked again. literal put options on the money printer
https://www.cmegroup.com/trading/interest-rates/secured-overnight-fina ncing-rate-options.html
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/September_2019_events_in_the_U.S._repo_m arket
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Good morning from Iran. 9:00 AM local time, traffic is moving now, with container ships and tankers lining up. Not an activity that's been seen at any point during the war. Presumably Trump has informed Iranian officials in the background that the blockade has been paused.
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I have been recently watching CHWY thinking it may be a nice dip to buy but I noticed the Market Cap does not seem to reflect the current share price.
at 27$ per share it should be less than 7B but marketwatch still lists it at over 11B, I checked some other stocks but they all checked out only this one has a discrepancy.
Anyone know what this is about?
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>>62128219
You are spotting a discrepancy in shares outstanding. There are dilutive shares such as employee stock options and convertible securities, as well as treasury stock, that are not available for trading but their readiness to be converted to common stock means we treat them as already issued. Think basic vs dilutive EPS.
For example, if chewy is trading at 27 400 and the total amount of employee stock options is 100 million shares convertible at 20$ a share you wouldn’t be a diligent investor to consider them in your calculations because they are going to be exercised even though they aren’t actually outstanding yet.There’s some other quirks but this looks like the most likely explanation
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>>62128215
you could always fomo into SOXL on Monday right before market open
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>>62128244
I see, thank you anon!
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>>62128185
>good job bozo you found out
I don't think anyone yet has identified correctly the cause of the pump in the endless debate.
I have done so with the 1 trillion from the SLR rule change taking place the exact day of the pump.
>The final rule modifying the Enhanced Supplementary Leverage Ratio (eSLR) for U.S. Global Systemically Important Bank Holding Companies (GSIBs) takes effect on April 1, 2026, with an early adoption option for January 1, 2026. This rule reduces the eSLR buffer for covered depository institutions from 6% to 3% plus a capped 1% buffer
As for the actual pumping meachnismo I will probably need to wait until the end of the month when Flagstar and Zion release 10q.
Those two banks are the biggest steaming piles of shit I have come across and whatever is underlying the pumps whip cracking discipline will show up there or in the Call data. They've already been using plenty of FHLB advances and wholesale funding and exceptions to rules.
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>>62128165
Oh cool thanks for that anon!
Grok/Clause also suggest that there would likely be a pump coming from there along with the other agents of darkness the fed has unleashed with Fannie, Freddie, and the rest of the pension funds who's cap has been upped.
They also suggested to look at balance sheet ballooning on the Bank of International Settlements for something similar with the treasury pulling the strings, and while it has grown substantially, I don't know enough about it.
It seems CommuDon will hollow out every existing institution and the currency to inflate mumus bags with government gibs.
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Look at this
The market is literally naked. Nobody has puts, Trump decapitated all hedgers. You better hope Trump has something up his sleeve or down goes frazier
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>>62128290
Fight the Fed?
I'm not going to be fighting anyone!
Mr. Bobo is going to do that for me and is on his way presently. He doesn't really have anything to do with these mechanisms directly, I just find them interesting, except to the extent that they do lasting damage to confidence in markets and misallocate resources (as Mr. Warsh has rightly expressed).
I'm just a bystander here Mr. Mumu.
When Mr. Bobo shows up, there's not a power all over the earth that can stop him. But you can't really ever say when he'll arrive.
He just shows up one day, out of the blue, after almost 100 years.
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>>62128258
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>>62128271
https://www.cbe.org.eg/en/economic-research/statistics/overnight-depos it-and-lending-rate
https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/OBFR
https://br.tradingview.com/symbols/BMFBOVESPA-DI11!/
https://www.ecb.europa.eu/stats/financial_markets_and_interest_rates/e uro_short-term_rate/html/index.en.h tml
https://www.bankofcanada.ca/rates/interest-rates/corra/#corra
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Why do you dumb bulls assume bears are actively short all the time? I'm extremely bearish, but did literally nothing these past two months. Didn't sell anything, didn't buy anything, didn't short anything. That is until yesterday, when I went long oil. Smart bears always take the clownishness of the market into account when trading, and yesterday was the tipping point from a risk-reward perspective in my opinion. I might open a short position on US tech on Monday depending on how things go over the weekend.
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>>62128325
https://data.ecb.europa.eu/data/data-categories/financial-markets-and- interest-rates/euro-money-market/eu ro-short-term-rate?layerType=DL&sho wDatasetModal=false
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>>62128344
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>>62128347
Ah well I can shill on it you real quick. The floor price of .999 silver only rises. The risk of high silver prices is asymmetric compared to the risk of a silver crash.
Due to a 6 year supply deficit that is carefully suppressed by paper trading and constant dollar devaluation, you could use silver as a hedge against overbought market conditions, a risk/reward play for physical price discovery and technology keeps eating into the supply.
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what are we shorting Monday?
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>>62128376
>if silver rises capacity can be made up quickly
abject lie. silver has climbed from $15 to $80 showing that demand is outpacing supply
>most manipulated assets on earth
good thing its got physical scarcity
>thridies and gccs will be dumping to pay for oil/make up oil shortfall
gccs and others are shedding gold. not silver. silver production requires more energy input than oil production, so trading silver for oil is a ludicrous long-term harmful trade
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>>62128390
>CASH BAGGIES
I mean...
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>there are people in this thread right NOW who sold and went 100% cash and didn't buy back in
>they are now getting left behind
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>>62128400
The poll that showed how half of /smg/ was in cash was literally the bottom!
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stockers
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>>62128368
EVERYTHING
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it still hasn't sunk in for many of you bobos... we are not overturning society for your financial/emotional benefit. we are objectively at all time highs, and all the wagies in my life are dutifully manning their stations. this is not a a taunt. this is a life preserver i'm throwing to you all. this is the greatest financial and technological boom of your lifetime and you're busy telling ghost stories about the end of things. just get long and stay that way. literally the #1 rule is always be long beta. and some of you really need a splash of cold water, times are uniquely good right now. if you see things differently, it's your vision that is failing you.
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Pool's closed.
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>>62128480
it's all bs m8
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>>62128501
Yeah, real traders make their decisions based on delusional hopium that's completely divorced from reality.
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>>62128494
Robinhood! Standing!
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>>62128511
>physical reality is wrong
>the market is right
This has to be a new level of cope.
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>>62128503
just like you guys miscounted oil stockpiles, i'm guessing you have no idea that other goods are held in stockpile, if you've ever been out west you'd know we massive silos at every train station that are filled with grain from last year. in chicago there are warehouses and warehouses of every good you can think of. even if we depleted fertilizer, and we won't, it would take years before any famine hit. spirit airlines has been struggling for years and it's not surprising the lowest quality airliner is dying, it's a competitive and oversaturated business. it's a loss for a consumer but when jet fuel prices come down we'll probably get 2 new poverty airliners to replace what was lost. i know there are more examples and i know it's a drag, but the economy is growing above trend, the s&p even more than that, and the businesses driving are not using oil as an input. this has an effect but it needs to be put in proper context, and people should be learning from this once-in-a-lifetime event instead of trying to dictate/wishcast what will happen. the economy is not a house of cards, capitalism has a natural resilience and price movements incentivize production into shortfalls and curb demand, it's a self-righting system. if this goes on for 6 months the effects will get very serious for parts of the world, but that's not likely and it's not where we're at.
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Bulas will just have to wait and see the earnings I suppose,, but the real world is being affected right now - spirit airlines about to go bankrupt, china completely banned fertilizer exports, bonds are about to break out bigly, japan will have to dump t bills...no need to wait another week when oil is barely higher than it was during the "good" times.
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>>62128527
>MSM bullshit
>an official statement from the IRGC
Holy fuck, you baggies are so deluded right now.
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I'm smugmaxxing having sold the very tippy toppy yesterday :3
I will buy back in at SPY 650, Trump will call off the blockade and the pool will really open.
You heard it here first folks, yesterday top and bottom about a week from now to form the double bottom, then rally begins until peak euphoria with ridiculous IPO after ridiculous IPO until August/September when the economic impact of this disruption hits the data print and the market sells off hard, fast and with a vengeance.
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Hi Guys! What's Up? Lol. Robinhood Is Nice!
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>>62128531
show your portfolio. depending on the amount of money you own I might read past the first sentence.
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>>62128540
I have a property portfolio worth £15,000,000.
I have a stonks portfolio for funsies worth £200,000
I am GRRR anon, AKA the Gorillionaire. Also GAMB anon, AKA the retard.
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Robinhood! Is Stacked!
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>>62128529
Yeah bro governments can't lie. Who ever heard of governments lying, that's crazy bro
People like to act as if they don't trust the government and then they slurp up everything politicians say as a fact, it's incredible
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>>62128588
>ackshyually the strait is open
>ackshyually the strait being closed is fake news
>ackshyually Iran is lying about closing the strait
>ackshyually it doesn't matter if Iran sinks oil tankers
I can smell you matzo breath from this side of the screen, Moshe.
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>>62128594
Are you retarded? I already said the status of the war is irrelevant for everything else.
>>62128595
The real smart guys are the ones that slurped at the dip, staying all cash when you are poor changes nothing.
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Pay Money Or Else I'm Not Posting Here!
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>Revenues generated per US dollar of fixed assets are dropping fast among US tech firms
>For each US dollar of property and equipment, Amazon makes just US$2 and Meta US$1 in revenue
>Apple is key exception, as firm has mostly stayed out of debt-fuelled AI boom
Oh my, would you look at that, AAPL will be the only company worth owning.
Because they're not dumb and saw the AImeme blackhole trap.
Think of it that way: if Apple, yes fucking APPLE, didn't find a real way to extract money from LLMs, then it means there's no money to be made from them.
Period.
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Who's ready to slurp the Monday dump?
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BWET KINGS STAY WINNING
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>>62128629
It's surprising that the Baltic Exchange has not suspended the TD3C index upon which BWET is calculated.
They suspended other Middle East indexes but not the crude one, even though it's theoretical and no ships have been able to do the trip.
There is a company that has its ships fixed out based on this index (Hunter in Norway) and the counterparty is Mercuria, one of the largest traders in the world, so you'd expect rock solid performance. Guess what, Mercuria didn't pay them.
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>>62128638
why must I support israel if I hate brown people
how do you make that leap in logic in your own mind? what are you, a sub 90iq squatamalen?
I am on my own side, the one that kills kikes and browns. you seem to firmly have brown dick in your asshole, fren
false equivalency is a shitty kike tactic, retard
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>>62127618
Hey that’s my shitpost you smigger
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> futures
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^> ladies and gentlemen
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Nice peace LOL
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>nows
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>>62128618
That's great and all but I'm required to sit in 3 hours of meetings a day on how I can better use copilot to make PowerPoints and word docs even though I don't make PowerPoints or word docs anyway
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>UKMTO WARNING 037-26 - ATTACK Report Date:18 Apr 2026 Report Time: 0920UTC Issue Date:18 Apr 2026 Source: Master UKMTO has received a report of an incident 20NM northeast of OMAN. The Master of a Tanker reports being approached by 2 IRGC gun boats, no VHF challenge that then fired upon the tanker. Tanker and crew are reported safe. Authorities are investigating.
KEK
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All the TDS cultists here swore that the pool was permanently closed yesterday and also said some very rude things to our beloved schizos our who simply stated the obvious risks that turned out to be true
I don't think they should apologise just leave and never come back
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>>62128713
Yeah looks open to me fucking libtards
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>>62128618
That graph genuinely makes my day
>data centers make great money through various cloud services
>new hyper scaling ai data centers are way more expensive
>also become obsolete incredibly fast (3-5 year)
>there isn't a single new profitable use case that the hyper scaling data center can do
>so we have more expensive data centers that burn out faster that are completely useless
Also I'd love to see Oracle thrown on that list
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>>62128722
This was always the double digits IQ take. Anybody that's been in the market more than a few years (ie not zoomers) know the market is completely dumb and couldn't see the wall to save its life before hitting it.
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>>62128735
true in theory, but not in practice.
also does gemini think i'm a retard? why the emojis?
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>>62128618
thats wild boss
must be the exit liquidity
iphone has been a piece of shit for years with siri.
they involuntarily changed me over to the guy siri cause i kept calling siri a dumb bitch boss
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Kek
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>EOG
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bang bang bang...
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>>62128833
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OIL BACK TO $100 ON MONDAY
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>>62128867
>bears still cant understand the big picture
we are slowly moving toward a resolution. this wont matter in a year so investors buy the dip and look at company earnings.
-3% temporary impact from oil
+5% from other macro trends
= +2% ytd which is where we are on the SP500
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>>62128722
Mostly retarded bulls ignoring reality desperate to prove that their gains are based on something real and substantive. There's a lot of stupid people whose minds would break if they realized everything's turned into a shitcoin
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>>62128059
Why did trump nominate Powell in the first place? Idk about everything but it's funny how Powell is the first non-jew to be Fed Chairman in around half a century, and he's the one that's always playing it tight.